Blockchain analytics firm Bubblemaps disputed viral assertions that a large Polymarket “Yes” bet on Nicolás Maduro’s removal was funded by a World Liberty Financial (WLFI) cofounder. Bubblemaps said timing- and value-based wallet matching is misleading — noting a one-day gap and single-asset focus — and that using the same assumptions yields ~20 alternative wallet matches. It also pointed to other plausible funding sources (bank transfers, consolidated balances, multiple smaller transactions) and concluded there is currently no evidence linking the trader to WLFI or its founders. Bubblemaps urged more rigorous on-chain analysis; neither Polymarket nor WLFI has reported formal findings.

Bubblemaps explicitly rejected the attribution, cited a one-day gap and single-asset matching as insufficient, produced ~20 alternative wallet matches, and identified other plausible funding methods; no formal findings from Polymarket or WLFI — facts that make this a non–market-moving attribution dispute.