Analyst: Bitcoin/gold RSI falls below 30 for 4th time — BTC/gold ratio fell ~50% in 2025 as gold outperformed amid large central‑bank and ETF flows
first published 2025-12-16T17:55:36Z
Michaël Van De Poppe notes the Bitcoin vs gold Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below 30 for only the fourth time ever, with the prior three occurrences coinciding with 2015, 2018 and 2022 bear-market bottoms. He interprets the reading as indicating gold is overvalued relative to Bitcoin and that a rotation toward BTC could follow. Van De Poppe also said 2025 has weakened the notion of a strict four-year Bitcoin cycle. At time of reporting BTC was trading at $85,583, down 5.4% over the past week.
AI Analysis
RSI(BTC/gold) < 30 is a concrete technical observation; the three prior instances coincided with historical bear-market lows, which Van De Poppe uses to argue gold is overvalued vs BTC and rotation to BTC may occur. The story cites current BTC price ($85,583, -5.4% week) but provides no immediate on-chain flows or catalysts, so actionable short-term impact is limited.
Expected Investor Sentiment: Neutral
Potential Market Impact: Significant
Source Articles
- Analyst Michaël Van De Poppe Says Gold Looks Overvalued Against Bitcoin – Here’s Why - Daily Hodl
- The Bitcoin-to-gold ratio fell 50% in 2025: Here’s why - Cointelegraph
- Bitcoin Trades Near Key Price Safety Net That Strategy Already Breached - CoinDesk
- No Crystal Ball: VanEck Refuses to Release 2026 Crypto Predictions - U.Today
- Bitcoin Price Crash Could Deepen, Peter Schiff Warns - Coinpedia