Bitcoin Freefall: $70,000 Support Shatters as Bears Take ‘Firm Control’

ByteTree reports Bitcoin’s 30-day rolling correlation with the iShares Expanded Tech Software ETF (IGV) is 0.73. IGV is down ~20% year-to-date while Bitcoin has fallen ~16%, and BTC’s moves are aligning more with weak software names (Microsoft, Oracle, Salesforce, Intuit, Adobe) than the broader Nasdaq 100. Analysts link the software sell-off to AI/AGI concerns; ByteTree notes the average technology bear market lasts about 14 months (implying pressure could extend into much of 2026). Van Eck’s Matthew Sigel summarized the view: “Bitcoin is just open-source software.”
AI Analysis
Correlation and performance data show Bitcoin is moving with a weak software sector (30‑day correlation 0.73 to IGV; IGV down ~20% YTD vs. BTC down ~16%). ByteTree’s note that average tech bear markets last ~14 months provides a concrete channel for continued downside pressure; market participants citing AI/AGI-driven software weakness links the driver to observable equity flows. These facts justify a modestly bearish sentiment and a moderate trading impact.